At a point of near-record overvaluation, the market's monetary underpinnings are beginning to change, coincident with a maturing business cycle. The unprecedented duration of market distortions provides for latent volatility to re-emerge sharply. Risk is centered on government bonds, with equity sensitivity in late-cycle consumer and financials. We therefore emphasize a focus on sentiment indicators in the short-term, with an eye to ensuring ready cash for relative value opportunities in the intermediate-term.
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